Deception Analysis Spots Trouble Behind Dave & Buster's Positive Earnings
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Dave & Buster's (4/2/19):
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"We’re excited to be in positive comp territory in Q4. And as we look to 2019, we’re guiding comps of flat to up 1.5%. We think that is a strong pursuit for this brand in the face of the competitive environment we face today. It’s early in the year."
"We’re doing all those things to drive positive comps, and we think we have the playbook to do that. I think it’s a proven guide. I’ll give you a little color. We don’t typically do this but I’m just going to get it out of the way. Q1 is a very volatile quarter for this company in that spring break and Easter shifts are significant. We – in past lives, we’ve hesitated really to talk about performance in the quarter.
"We’re definitely seeing labor headwinds. We don’t anticipate that’s really going to subside."
But I do want to share with you that through 7 weeks, before we started to hit that Easter shift, we were up about 1%. We view that as good news. We are in positive land in a difficult environment. There’s a lot of runway and year left to go and we’re pursuing positive comps being flat to up and that’s what our team is waking up every day trying to drive in 2019."
Dave & Buster's (4/2/19):
- Uptick in Deception: indicates elevated uncertainty on ability to maintain positive comps
- Labor cost headwinds: this continues to challenge the restaurant/hospitality sector, and Dave & Buster’s plan to mitigate this headwind is new and unproven as evidenced by commentary such as: “there’s a learning curve”, and “that takes time to figure that out"
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